Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1393.638122 1597.895930 1829.031485 2111.423702 2449.114016 2842.445014 3338.865868
2025-06-22 1049.140503 1298.852068 1609.812488 2031.100907 2595.699735 3339.005810 4413.469567
2025-06-29 875.455865 1134.801062 1477.117426 1971.945020 2685.915146 3706.427261 5328.624098
2025-07-06 749.024397 1005.848362 1360.528197 1900.301764 2727.262368 3993.149784 6176.836244
2025-07-13 694.457261 964.094311 1352.810570 1974.554500 2985.157428 4643.075537 7757.002061
2025-07-20 638.212806 910.849407 1318.304446 1998.257454 3161.775601 5191.665420 9312.697273
2025-07-27 595.888782 872.149628 1298.905416 2039.779117 3370.843215 5835.446461 11241.459231
2025-08-03 557.644787 834.726683 1275.653720 2069.166931 3560.502275 6481.270852 13386.285423
2025-08-10 532.425827 814.751520 1277.398980 2140.513795 3838.635215 7363.447193 16388.039998
2025-08-17 503.356544 785.156475 1258.925991 2171.358374 4041.736777 8135.911525 19432.882987
2025-08-24 474.446473 752.828077 1231.746446 2181.124323 4202.151389 8851.646029 22636.929275
2025-08-31 448.170302 722.474391 1204.582778 2186.555923 4353.391748 9583.714731 26235.388494
2025-09-07 429.115531 704.208337 1199.571147 2240.366661 4634.690317 10751.511521 31982.498827
2025-09-14 395.192506 656.618498 1135.400210 2163.589854 4600.156810 11085.971990 35090.357881
2025-09-21 366.378159 615.878211 1080.177402 2098.229076 4580.572414 11458.099271 38593.009936
2025-09-28 339.165011 575.988126 1022.935242 2021.171724 4518.059561 11691.210176 41716.537635
2025-10-05 331.170987 571.468245 1035.091998 2101.239438 4879.099095 13344.029969 52456.779385
2025-10-12 318.243691 556.402649 1024.333789 2126.826655 5099.867386 14629.518199 62689.245750
2025-10-19 308.087618 545.873112 1021.832962 2171.650614 5385.493902 16254.874248 76582.992313
2025-10-26 297.482963 533.596940 1014.408517 2203.386098 5641.115529 17882.922455 92607.841120
2025-11-02 291.275061 529.632735 1024.408014 2280.464693 6054.804470 20323.355397 117961.783964
2025-11-09 281.975055 518.621820 1017.846955 2313.801260 6339.267548 22375.858230 144127.638573
2025-11-16 271.624211 504.677046 1003.440162 2324.357957 6552.435856 24229.228556 172405.425907